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There's been quite a controversy regarding the availability of individual investor silver, and recently gold. Many have concluded that "THEY" are intentionally limiting the amount of 100 oz silver bars and 1 oz gold coins to keep retail investors from leaving their FIAT-currency paper investments for physical bullion.
This has caught my interest and so for about a week I've been gathering data comparing the NYMEX 4PM closing price (as given by the kitco.com and kitcosilver.com 24-hour graphs) and by tracking all completed (actually SOLD) Ebay auctions for name brand 1 oz gold coins (Eagles, Buffalos, Kruggerands, Maple Leafs, etc. [but not Philharmonics which seem to sell consistently lower than other brands]) and 100 oz silver bars (any brand, but seemingly reputable).
Because I like to consider myself a bit of a value investor, I've been tracking the minimum price for each of the above (except as noted below). This is because I'd like to see what I could safely assume I could get if, after buying such an investment, I wanted to liquidate it.
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10/23/2008 - I left out a 1 oz gold Philharmonic at $760 because the seller indicated that it was damaged.
10/27/2008 - Again, the low bid was a 1 oz gold Philharmonic, with a price 40% less than the other lowest coin. I'm going to no longer include Philharmonic coins.
11/11/2008 - Left out a low bid for a single, old Kruggerand (795$) solely because its price was way out of line.
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The reason why the spreads between the phils and American or Canadian coins existed is simple branding. The phils don't say "dollar" on them, nor are they from somewhere geographically close. Well, people are beginning to realize such things don't matter much, as compared to their silver content (this wouldn't be the case if the coins were known to fall apart). With shortages of other coins, buyers have less choice.
Posted by: Bobby | December 02, 2008 at 10:30 AM
I will keep the coins. I have noticed today that the gap between Philharmonics and the Silver eagle is closing fast. Less than a dollar difference now. Up against the Silver Maple leaf as well. I don't see why this is happening really, the Euro has risen but not to account for a 31 cent increase as it is as I write this. Yes I think this going to work out after all. Philharmonic 13.75 up 0.22, Silver Eagle 14.57 dwn .09 Go figure.... 11/26/08
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Keep your silver coins!! Do NOT sell in the near future. Your girlfriend's timing was off. Not the fundamentals. Your silver will have MUCH more purchasing power in mid-term future. Think of it as your personal 401K minus the stock market failures. LONG TERM. DO NOT SELL!!!
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Well, I think (speculate really) its just that Ebay mostly sells in the USA and the Philharmonic brand is not as well established as the American Eagle brand. I don't know if you noticed this, but I've seen the same thing with gold 1 oz coins. Philharmonics have consistently shown a lower premium than all other brand 1 oz coins and, as a result, I don't consider them when finding the lowest 1 oz gold coin price.
I'm not an expert, but that is what I've seen and think.
MontyHigh
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To MontyHigh
Please reconsider not including Philharmonics. I think the disparity alone in the price comparisons is reason enough to continue looking at them. I see in the Monex listing that silver(Philharmonics) Euros are rapidly climbing against eagles for the last few days. Currently Eagles are down 43 cents against the Philharmonic. all very queer.
Posted by: refuge | November 11, 2008 at 01:57 PM
Hi.
I was wondering why in your opinion Philharmonic silvers should be so much lower than silver eagles or maple leafs. I find this to be very queer. After all the Phils carry a 1.5 Euro face value on top of the 1 ounce silver content. I have yet to hear a good understanding of this difference in valuations. Thank you in advance. Eve......
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