This guy claims gold is not volatile compared to the S&P 500:
"The dog that
isn’t barking in capital markets is the volatility of the gold price.
Despite gold’s move up to a new record, gold’s historical volatility is
around 18%, compared to over 30% for the S&P 500."
Maybe
on a longer term basis, but not on a day-by-day basis (witness today's
[monday's]
2% takedown).
Here's another
bit: "So the central banks appear to be accumulating gold, slowly and
steady, buying on declines, and nudging the price up as gradually as
they can in order to reduce their average cost. That might be why we
observe so little volatility in the gold price. The prospective buyers,
namely the central banks, are so much larger than the gold market that
they avoid actions which might cause price spikes."
This
guy's big mistake is that he lumps all the central banks into one
category. Actually there are two major camps:
- Gold buyers (Russia, China, Saudis, Iran, India...) - who suppress long term drops in the price of gold.
- Gold rivals (USA, Bullion Banks, UK, anyone else?) - who actively suppress price jumps and cause very short term price downdrafts.
but still...its nice to see that through the mainstream analyst's eyes the Gold Buyers are now representative of all central banks. Seems like a data point indicating that the Cartel now has big new opponents and the Cartel is losing their grip on the price of gold.
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